Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAEE576004231116881
Robot aspirateur connecté XIAOMI VACUUM S40C
longtail
1P + 3P
ENTRETIEN DES SOLS - ENTRETIEN DE LA MAISON
Last 4 weeks demand
5
▼ 37.5% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
7
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
2
≈ 1.6 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 1.6K
avg of last 29 sells · latest 2026-09-28
AAEE576004231116881
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 51 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Robot aspirateur connecté XIAOMI VACUUM S40C · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, trending down -37.5% · on-hand 2 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (154 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.54 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 8 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 0.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 8.5 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 6.4 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 20.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 51.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 81.9K |