Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAEE554004301236831
Xiaomi Tag – Traceur Intelligent Sans Fil pour Clés, Sac et Objets
longtail
1P
GPS
Last 4 weeks demand
16
▼ 27.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
29
Σ Stock across 3 live offers
1P stock
2
≈ 0.4 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 154
avg of last 2 sells · latest 2026-05-05
AAEE554004301236831
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 0 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Xiaomi Tag – Traceur Intelligent Sans Fil pour Clés, Sac et Objets · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 16 units, trending down -27.3% · on-hand 2 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (42 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.77 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 16 units · prev 4w = 22 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | — units |
| Optimistic — next week | — units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | — units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | — units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | — |