Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAEE554004301236831
Xiaomi Tag – Traceur Intelligent Sans Fil pour Clés, Sac et Objets
midtail
1P + 3P
GPS
Last 4 weeks demand
38
▼ 36.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
86
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
60
≈ 6.5 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 143
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-03
AAEE554004301236831
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 383 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Xiaomi Tag – Traceur Intelligent Sans Fil pour Clés, Sac et Objets · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 38 units, trending down -36.7% · on-hand 59 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (91 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.72 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 38 units · prev 4w = 60 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 14.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 56.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 209.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 19.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 81.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 382.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 10.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 54.9K |