Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAEC59302100355501
La Roche Posay Anthelios Fluide Anti-Taches spf50+ 50ml+Mela B3 Miniature
midtail
3P
SOLAIRES
Last 4 weeks demand
2
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
110
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-02 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 181
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-28
AAEC59302100355501
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 321 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
La Roche Posay Anthelios Fluide Anti-Taches spf50+ 50ml+Mela B3 Miniature · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 133 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (231 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.68 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 5.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 67.1 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 23.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 22.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 131.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 320.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 58.1K |