Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAEC592206180147320
AAEC592206180147320
midtail
1P + 3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
7
▲ 16.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
3
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
3
≈ 0.4 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 195
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-20
AAEC592206180147320
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 201 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
AAEC592206180147320 · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 7 units, trending up +16.7% · on-hand 3 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (91 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.34 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 7 units · prev 4w = 6 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 1.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 54.5 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 6.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 9.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 38.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 200.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 39.1K |