Demand Forecast

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L'Oréal Elseve Glycolic Gloss – Soin Lamination à l’Acide Glycolique – 200ml
SKU · AAEC55512101210303490

L'Oréal Elseve Glycolic Gloss – Soin Lamination à l’Acide Glycolique – 200ml

midtail 1P CAPILLAIRE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

5
▼ 58.3% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)

Current stock

15
≈ 3.3 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 72
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-04

AAEC55512101210303490

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 121 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

L'Oréal Elseve Glycolic Gloss – Soin Lamination à l’Acide Glycolique – 200ml · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, trending down -58.3% · on-hand 15 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: midtail (147 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.83 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 12 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.9 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks14.4 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months42.1 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week7.6 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)38.9 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)120.8 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)3.2
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 8.7K