Demand Forecast

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L'Oréal Elseve Glycolic Gloss – Shampooing Brillance Miroir 200ml – Pour Cheveux Ternes
SKU · AAEC50012201210303516

L'Oréal Elseve Glycolic Gloss – Shampooing Brillance Miroir 200ml – Pour Cheveux Ternes

longtail 1P CAPILLAIRE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

2
▼ 83.3% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)

Current stock

5
≈ 1.8 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 68
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-05

AAEC50012201210303516

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 110 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

L'Oréal Elseve Glycolic Gloss – Shampooing Brillance Miroir 200ml – Pour Cheveux Ternes · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -83.3% · on-hand 5 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (119 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.48 — low
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 12 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.5 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks12.0 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months34.3 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week6.8 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)31.7 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)110.3 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.6
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 7.5K