Demand Forecast

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Tirette de Touche 2‑en‑1 pour Clavier Mécanique – Outil Polyvalent en Acier Inoxydable
SKU · AAE9A99912261049508

Tirette de Touche 2‑en‑1 pour Clavier Mécanique – Outil Polyvalent en Acier Inoxydable

longtail 3P COMPOSANT - PIECE DETACHEE OUT OF STOCK
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

4
▼ 78.9% vs prev 4w

Offer Stock

102
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02

1P stock

0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-02 snapshot

Unit price

MAD 3
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-27

AAE9A99912261049508

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 210 units.
Actual Realistic forecast (p50) Optimistic Out of stock

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Tirette de Touche 2‑en‑1 pour Clavier Mécanique – Outil Polyvalent en Acier Inoxydable · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending down -78.9% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (259 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.60 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 19 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic forecast — next week1.8 units
Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks7.6 units
Realistic forecast — next 3 months58.8 units
Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks
the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4		17.3 units
Optimistic — next week13.4 units
Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target)54.1 units
Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)210.2 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.5
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 645