Demand Forecast

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Tirette de Touche 2‑en‑1 pour Clavier Mécanique – Outil Polyvalent en Acier Inoxydable
SKU · AAE9A99912261049508

Tirette de Touche 2‑en‑1 pour Clavier Mécanique – Outil Polyvalent en Acier Inoxydable

longtail 1P COMPOSANT - PIECE DETACHEE OUT OF STOCK
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

1
▼ 87.5% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)

Current stock

0
depleted

Unit price

MAD 6
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-04

AAE9A99912261049508

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 82 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Tirette de Touche 2‑en‑1 pour Clavier Mécanique – Outil Polyvalent en Acier Inoxydable · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -87.5% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (133 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.64 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 8 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.3 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks10.4 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months29.4 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week8.5 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)28.0 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)82.3 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.3
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 511