Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A99812190358284
ECRAN GARNIER SUPER UV Anti ACNE SPF50 / 30ML
midtail
1P + 3P
SOLAIRES
Last 4 weeks demand
12
▼ 33.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
88
Σ Stock across 5 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
43
≈ 10.1 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 56
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-29
AAE9A99812190358284
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 132 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
ECRAN GARNIER SUPER UV Anti ACNE SPF50 / 30ML · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 12 units, trending down -33.3% · on-hand 44 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (182 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.46 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 12 units · prev 4w = 18 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 5.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 20.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 68.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 8.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 36.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 132.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 7.4K |