Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A9973110013039
Coussin en velours 45 x 45 cm 100 % polyester 220 g - Rose Bébé
longtail
1P
COUSSIN ET HOUSSE
Last 4 weeks demand
11
▲ 175.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
6
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
6
≈ 7.3 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 68
avg of last 18 sells · latest 2026-08-01
AAE9A9973110013039
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 80 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Coussin en velours 45 x 45 cm 100 % polyester 220 g - Rose Bébé · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 11 units, trending up +175.0% · on-hand 7 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (231 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.75 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 11 units · prev 4w = 4 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 3.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 11.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 37.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 6.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 23.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 80.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 5.4K |