Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A966212261049801
Support de Rouleau de Cuisine avec Revêtement Polytherm - Acier Inox - 24.5 x 9 x 8.5cm - Gris
longtail
3P
ACCESSOIRE DE CUISINE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
1
▼ 87.5% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
175
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-02 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 59
avg of last 22 sells · latest 2026-09-09
AAE9A966212261049801
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 64 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Support de Rouleau de Cuisine avec Revêtement Polytherm - Acier Inox - 24.5 x 9 x 8.5cm - Gris · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -87.5% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (231 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.50 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 8 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 2.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 8.3 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 8.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 7.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 34.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 63.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.8K |