Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A9511281245234
Pack de 2 Taies d'oreiller - Flanelle Uni - 50x70cm - 100% Coton - Blanc cassé
longtail
1P
LINGE DE LIT
Last 4 weeks demand
8
▲ 300.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
48
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-06-30
1P stock
48
≈ 50.0 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-06-30
Unit price
MAD 25
avg of last 12 sells · latest 2026-04-21
AAE9A9511281245234
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 70 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Pack de 2 Taies d'oreiller - Flanelle Uni - 50x70cm - 100% Coton - Blanc cassé · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 8 units, trending up +300.0% · on-hand 51 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (168 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.49 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 8 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 5.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 16.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 21.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 69.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.8K |