Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A9511281245234
Pack de 2 Taies d'oreiller - Flanelle Uni - 50x70cm - 100% Coton - Blanc cassé
longtail
1P
LINGE DE LIT
Last 4 weeks demand
6
▼ 50.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
36
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
36
≈ 28.6 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 26
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-30
AAE9A9511281245234
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 81 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Pack de 2 Taies d'oreiller - Flanelle Uni - 50x70cm - 100% Coton - Blanc cassé · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 6 units, trending down -50.0% · on-hand 36 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (210 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.60 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 6 units · prev 4w = 12 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 11.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 39.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 22.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 81.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.1K |