Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A9511281245234
Pack de 2 Taies d'oreiller - Flanelle Uni - 50x70cm - 100% Coton - Blanc cassé
longtail
1P
LINGE DE LIT
Last 4 weeks demand
13
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
23
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14
1P stock
23
≈ 17.7 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-14
Unit price
MAD 26
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-10-04
AAE9A9511281245234
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-05 · Total forecast: 106 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Pack de 2 Taies d'oreiller - Flanelle Uni - 50x70cm - 100% Coton - Blanc cassé · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 13 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 23 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (273 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.89 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 13 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 6.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 14.6 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 9.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 9.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 27.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 105.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.8K |