Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A95007131006277
AAE9A95007131006277
longtail
1P
ACCESSOIRE DE MEUBLE
Last 4 weeks demand
51
▼ 12.1% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
24
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
24
≈ 1.6 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 44
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-29
AAE9A95007131006277
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 345 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
AAE9A95007131006277 · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 51 units, trending down -12.1% · on-hand 24 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (70 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.03 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 51 units · prev 4w = 58 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 2.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 93.5 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 13.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 14.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 58.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 345.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 15.3K |