Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A9201131219960
Boîte de Rangement - Petit Modèle - Plastique Durable - Couvercle Hermétique - Noir - 1 x 1 x 1 - Beige
longtail
1P
ACCESSOIRE DE MEUBLE
Last 4 weeks demand
6
▲ 20.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
19
Σ Stock across 1 live offer
1P stock
19
≈ 12.9 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 13
avg of last 20 sells · latest 2026-05-03
AAE9A9201131219960
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 66 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Boîte de Rangement - Petit Modèle - Plastique Durable - Couvercle Hermétique - Noir - 1 x 1 x 1 - Beige · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 6 units, trending up +20.0% · on-hand 19 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (140 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.48 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 6 units · prev 4w = 5 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 16.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 19.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 65.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 829 |