Demand Forecast

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OFFRE SKIN : MICELLAIRE VITA C400ML = MICELLAIRE VITA C 100ML
SKU · AAE9A9111111044419

OFFRE SKIN : MICELLAIRE VITA C400ML = MICELLAIRE VITA C 100ML

midtail 1P CORPS ET VISAGE OUT OF STOCK
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

1
new activity (no prior baseline)

Year-over-year

—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)

Current stock

0
depleted

Unit price

MAD 60
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-12

AAE9A9111111044419

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 111 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

OFFRE SKIN : MICELLAIRE VITA C400ML = MICELLAIRE VITA C 100ML · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: midtail (196 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 1.18 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 0 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week1.9 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks7.7 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months24.2 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week6.0 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)30.3 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)110.6 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.9
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 6.6K