Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A904312261049223
Sac à Pommes de Terre pour Micro‑ondes – Cuisson Rapide & Réutilisable, Pommes de Terre au Four en 4 Minutes
longtail
1P
EMBALLAGE ALIMENTAIRE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
8
▼ 11.1% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
0
depleted
Unit price
MAD 17
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAE9A904312261049223
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 72 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Sac à Pommes de Terre pour Micro‑ondes – Cuisson Rapide & Réutilisable, Pommes de Terre au Four en 4 Minutes · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 8 units, trending down -11.1% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (154 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.65 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 8 units · prev 4w = 9 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 9.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 27.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 6.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 24.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 71.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.2K |