Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A9012090923982
Xiaomi Smart TV A 55 2026 - 55" 140 4K Ultra HD Google Smart 120Hz Game Boost AirPlay - L55MB-AME
longtail
1P
TELEVISEUR
Last 4 weeks demand
3
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
5
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
5
≈ 7.1 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 3.9K
avg of last 28 sells · latest 2026-09-20
AAE9A9012090923982
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 106 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Xiaomi Smart TV A 55 2026 - 55" 140 4K Ultra HD Google Smart 120Hz Game Boost AirPlay - L55MB-AME · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 5 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (273 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.48 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 3.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 14.9 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 12.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 12.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 52.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 106.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 410.7K |