Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A8803250913847
Trousse Nacrée UV Sun Block – Soin Quotidien Protecteur Anti-Taches SPF Adapté à Tous Types de Peau
midtail
1P
SOLAIRES
Last 4 weeks demand
4
▼ 55.6% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
35
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
35
≈ 9.2 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 85
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-23
AAE9A8803250913847
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 139 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Trousse Nacrée UV Sun Block – Soin Quotidien Protecteur Anti-Taches SPF Adapté à Tous Types de Peau · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending down -55.6% · on-hand 35 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (112 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.63 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 9 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 3.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 14.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 62.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 28.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 138.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 11.8K |