Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A8803250913847
Trousse Nacrée UV Sun Block – Soin Quotidien Protecteur Anti-Taches SPF Adapté à Tous Types de Peau
longtail
1P
SOLAIRES
Last 4 weeks demand
9
▼ 40.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
48
Σ Stock across 2 live offers
1P stock
44
≈ 9.6 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 87
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-04
AAE9A8803250913847
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 0 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Trousse Nacrée UV Sun Block – Soin Quotidien Protecteur Anti-Taches SPF Adapté à Tous Types de Peau · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 9 units, trending down -40.0% · on-hand 44 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (77 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.59 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 9 units · prev 4w = 15 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | — units |
| Optimistic — next week | — units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | — units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | — units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | — |