Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A8801260431203
Torchon cuisine 45×71 cm 68g-beige
longtail
1P
LINGE DE TABLE - CUISINE
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▼ 80.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
73
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
73
≈ 41.9 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 12
avg of last 26 sells · latest 2026-07-30
AAE9A8801260431203
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 81 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Torchon cuisine 45×71 cm 68g-beige · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending down -80.0% · on-hand 73 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (182 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.64 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 15 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 3.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 13.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 44.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 6.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 24.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 81.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 975 |