Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A8801130405855
Boîte de rangement - GENERIC - MM - Couleur rose - Plastique - Design contemporain
longtail
1P
ACCESSOIRE DE MEUBLE
Last 4 weeks demand
20
▲ 66.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
94
Σ Stock across 1 live offer
1P stock
94
≈ 31.8 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 16
avg of last 23 sells · latest 2026-05-06
AAE9A8801130405855
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 80 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Boîte de rangement - GENERIC - MM - Couleur rose - Plastique - Design contemporain · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 20 units, trending up +66.7% · on-hand 94 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (147 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.72 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 20 units · prev 4w = 12 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 6.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 24.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 26.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 80.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.3K |