Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A84501270337221-0004
ADIDAS VL COURT BASE Chaussures pour femmes - Noir profond / Blanc nuage / Blanc profond
longtail
1P
BASKET - SPORTSWEAR
Last 4 weeks demand
2
▼ 33.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
18
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14
1P stock
18
≈ 45.0 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-14
Unit price
MAD 349
avg of last 9 sells · latest 2026-10-02
AAE9A84501270337221-0004
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-05 · Total forecast: 95 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
ADIDAS VL COURT BASE Chaussures pour femmes - Noir profond / Blanc nuage / Blanc profond · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -33.3% · on-hand 18 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (168 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.55 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 0.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 2.1 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 6.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 8.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 32.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 95.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 33.3K |