Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A8431510040306
Fer à repasser - TAURUS - PTSI 2200 W - 130 g/min - Rose
hero
1P
REPASSAGE - COUTURE
Last 4 weeks demand
63
▼ 33.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
149
≈ 7.8 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 174
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAE9A8431510040306
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 465 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Fer à repasser - TAURUS - PTSI 2200 W - 130 g/min - Rose · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 63 units, trending down -33.0% · on-hand 149 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (217 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.66 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 63 units · prev 4w = 94 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 19.7 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 83.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 188.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 33.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 169.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 464.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 14.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 80.7K |