Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A8431510040306
Fer à repasser - TAURUS - PTSI 2200 W - 130 g/min - Rose
hero
1P
REPASSAGE - COUTURE
Last 4 weeks demand
77
▲ 60.4% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
56
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
56
≈ 3.1 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 155
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-29
AAE9A8431510040306
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 784 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Fer à repasser - TAURUS - PTSI 2200 W - 130 g/min - Rose · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 77 units, trending up +60.4% · on-hand 56 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (336 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.64 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 77 units · prev 4w = 48 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 3.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 12.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 256.3 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 34.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 20.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 107.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 784.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 17.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 121.6K |