Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A7901130445932
Boîte de rangement - GENERIC - MM - Couleur marron- Plastique - Design contemporain
longtail
1P
PETIT MEUBLE COMPLEMENT
Last 4 weeks demand
10
▼ 47.4% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
5
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
5
≈ 1.7 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 17
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-16
AAE9A7901130445932
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 119 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Boîte de rangement - GENERIC - MM - Couleur marron- Plastique - Design contemporain · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 10 units, trending down -47.4% · on-hand 5 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (224 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.68 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 10 units · prev 4w = 19 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 5.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 23.6 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 14.6 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 11.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 53.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 119.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.0K |