Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A79004081236625
Pied de parasol acier + ciment 11 kg — Modèle 896156 — Stable, robuste et durable
longtail
1P
AMENAGEMENT EXTERIEUR - DU JARDIN
Last 4 weeks demand
6
▲ 200.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
6
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14
1P stock
6
≈ 10.6 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-14
Unit price
MAD 190
avg of last 12 sells · latest 2026-10-06
AAE9A79004081236625
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-05 · Total forecast: 97 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Pied de parasol acier + ciment 11 kg — Modèle 896156 — Stable, robuste et durable · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 6 units, trending up +200.0% · on-hand 6 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (154 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.58 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 6 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 2.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 3.7 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 7.6 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 8.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 33.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 97.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 18.5K |