Demand Forecast

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Pack de 100 Éponges Nail Art avec Pince Métallique – Applicateurs pour Dégradés & Motifs Créatifs
SKU · AAE9A777212261049084

Pack de 100 Éponges Nail Art avec Pince Métallique – Applicateurs pour Dégradés & Motifs Créatifs

longtail 1P ONGLERIE OUT OF STOCK
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

7
▼ 30.0% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)

Current stock

0
depleted

Unit price

MAD 21
avg of last 28 sells · latest 2026-05-04

AAE9A777212261049084

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 81 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Pack de 100 Éponges Nail Art avec Pince Métallique – Applicateurs pour Dégradés & Motifs Créatifs · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 7 units, trending down -30.0% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (147 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.49 — low
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 7 units · prev 4w = 10 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.4 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks10.0 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months27.3 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week6.8 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)26.9 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)81.2 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.1
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 1.7K