Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A7001070414108
Tajine en porcelaine blanche – 11 cm – Motifs assortis
longtail
1P + 3P
CUISSON DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
7
▲ 133.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
37
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14
1P stock
9
≈ 7.9 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-14
Unit price
MAD 21
avg of last 14 sells · latest 2026-09-25
AAE9A7001070414108
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-05 · Total forecast: 103 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Tajine en porcelaine blanche – 11 cm – Motifs assortis · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 7 units, trending up +133.3% · on-hand 9 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (238 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.64 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 7 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 1.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 3.6 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 7.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 7.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 33.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 103.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 0.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.2K |