Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A7001060908143
Casque Sans Fil Sur‑Oreille – Autonomie 20H, Bluetooth 5.1, Conception Pliable & Confort Rembourré - Gris
longtail
3P
CASQUE - MICROPHONE - DICTAPHONE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
8
▲ 33.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
8
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-02 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 112
avg of last 29 sells · latest 2026-09-25
AAE9A7001060908143
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 115 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Casque Sans Fil Sur‑Oreille – Autonomie 20H, Bluetooth 5.1, Conception Pliable & Confort Rembourré - Gris · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 8 units, trending up +33.3% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (231 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.76 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 8 units · prev 4w = 6 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 0.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 24.1 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 7.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 7.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 33.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 114.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 12.9K |