Demand Forecast

Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
Back to category view
Pack Fresh Box Quatro – 2 × 0,45 L + 1 × 1,2 L XL + 1 × 1 L
SKU · AAE9A69301080415811

Pack Fresh Box Quatro – 2 × 0,45 L + 1 × 1,2 L XL + 1 × 1 L

longtail 1P CONSERVATION DES ALIMENTS
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

2
▼ 33.3% vs prev 4w

Offer Stock

25
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14

1P stock

25
≈ 39.1 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-14

Unit price

MAD 28
avg of last 19 sells · latest 2026-10-03

AAE9A69301080415811

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-10-12 · Total forecast: 96 units.
Actual Realistic forecast (p50) Optimistic Out of stock

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Pack Fresh Box Quatro – 2 × 0,45 L + 1 × 1,2 L XL + 1 × 1 L · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -33.3% · on-hand 25 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (245 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.35 — low
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 3 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic forecast — next week0.3 units
Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks1.1 units
Realistic forecast — next 3 months2.4 units
Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks
the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4		6.4 units
Optimistic — next week8.4 units
Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target)32.3 units
Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)95.7 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)0.2
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 2.7K