Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A6901300307791
ADIDAS Sac à dos avec trousse CLSC PCASE BP - 23,25 L - NOIR
longtail
1P
MAROQUINERIE
Last 4 weeks demand
4
▼ 66.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
32
Σ Stock across 1 live offer
1P stock
32
≈ 8.9 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 224
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-05
AAE9A6901300307791
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 0 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
ADIDAS Sac à dos avec trousse CLSC PCASE BP - 23,25 L - NOIR · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending down -66.7% · on-hand 32 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (77 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.83 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 12 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | — units |
| Optimistic — next week | — units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | — units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | — units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | — |