Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A6901300307791
ADIDAS Sac à dos avec trousse CLSC PCASE BP - 23,25 L - NOIR
midtail
1P
MAROQUINERIE
Last 4 weeks demand
9
▼ 43.8% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
7
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
7
≈ 1.8 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 221
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-28
AAE9A6901300307791
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 136 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
ADIDAS Sac à dos avec trousse CLSC PCASE BP - 23,25 L - NOIR · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 9 units, trending down -43.8% · on-hand 8 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (126 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.70 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 9 units · prev 4w = 16 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 3.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 15.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 63.0 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 6.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 30.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 136.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 30.2K |