Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A64212190358180
AAE9A64212190358180
longtail
1P + 3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
2
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
81
Σ Stock across 5 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-11-03
1P stock
33
≈ 55.0 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-11-03
Unit price
MAD 37
avg of last 4 sells · latest 2026-10-23
AAE9A64212190358180
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-26 · Total forecast: 82 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
AAE9A64212190358180 · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 33 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (98 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.67 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 0.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 0.7 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 3.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 6.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 25.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 82.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.0K |