Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A6192110114603
L’Oréal Paris – Coffret Maquillage – Infaillible Laque Résistance 601 Worth It + Mini Mascara Paradise + Pouch Rouge
midtail
1P
MAQUILLAGE VISAGE - CORPS
Last 4 weeks demand
8
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
6
≈ 1.5 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 113
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-01
AAE9A6192110114603
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 113 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
L’Oréal Paris – Coffret Maquillage – Infaillible Laque Résistance 601 Worth It + Mini Mascara Paradise + Pouch Rouge · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 8 units, stable demand · on-hand 6 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (217 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.81 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 8 units · prev 4w = 8 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 3.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 11.7 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 30.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 10.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 36.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 113.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 12.8K |