Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A61107201025596-0002
AAE9A61107201025596-0002
longtail
1P
CHAUSSURES DE VILLE
Last 4 weeks demand
2
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
144
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-11-03
1P stock
144
≈ 240.0 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-11-03
Unit price
MAD 178
avg of last 5 sells · latest 2026-10-25
AAE9A61107201025596-0002
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-11-02 · Total forecast: 137 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
AAE9A61107201025596-0002 · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, stable demand · on-hand 144 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (63 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.37 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 0.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 4.9 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 4.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 7.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 31.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 136.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 24.4K |