Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A5911111043913-0001
ADIDAS-BASKET DURAMO RC2 M BLUFUS/BETSCA/DKBLUE
longtail
1P
BASKET - SPORTSWEAR
Last 4 weeks demand
2
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
2
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
2
≈ 3.9 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 333
avg of last 19 sells · latest 2026-08-01
AAE9A5911111043913-0001
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 49 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
ADIDAS-BASKET DURAMO RC2 M BLUFUS/BETSCA/DKBLUE · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, stable demand · on-hand 1 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (252 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.34 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 6.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 24.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 2.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 10.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 49.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 16.3K |