Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A5901210348297
Boîte à Céréales EasySlide 1600 ml - Hobby Life - Couleur Aléatoire
midtail
1P
CONSERVATION DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
1
▼ 95.8% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
70
≈ 9.7 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 7
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-08
AAE9A5901210348297
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 342 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Boîte à Céréales EasySlide 1600 ml - Hobby Life - Couleur Aléatoire · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -95.8% · on-hand 70 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (112 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.50 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 24 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 5.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 23.5 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 73.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 20.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 105.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 341.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 5.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.5K |