Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A5901210348297
Boîte à Céréales EasySlide 1600 ml - Hobby Life - Couleur Aléatoire
midtail
1P + 3P
CONSERVATION DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
8
▲ 33.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
66
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
56
≈ 11.0 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 9
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AAE9A5901210348297
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 406 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Boîte à Céréales EasySlide 1600 ml - Hobby Life - Couleur Aléatoire · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 8 units, trending up +33.3% · on-hand 56 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (182 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.48 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 8 units · prev 4w = 6 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 6.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 28.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 142.0 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 16.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 72.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 405.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 5.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.5K |