Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A59004200952108
Pack Gloss & Lip Tint Matte Lover MATTE KISS & Itri Galaxy Pink – 2 x 6 g
midtail
1P
MAQUILLAGE VISAGE - CORPS
Last 4 weeks demand
6
▼ 66.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
4
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
4
≈ 1.3 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 29
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-28
AAE9A59004200952108
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 150 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Pack Gloss & Lip Tint Matte Lover MATTE KISS & Itri Galaxy Pink – 2 x 6 g · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 6 units, trending down -66.7% · on-hand 4 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (91 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.66 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 6 units · prev 4w = 18 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 3.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 14.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 59.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 31.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 150.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 4.3K |