Demand Forecast

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Pack Gloss & Lip Tint Matte Lover MATTE KISS & Itri Galaxy Pink – 2 x 6 g
SKU · AAE9A59004200952108

Pack Gloss & Lip Tint Matte Lover MATTE KISS & Itri Galaxy Pink – 2 x 6 g

longtail 1P MAQUILLAGE VISAGE - CORPS
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

15
new activity (no prior baseline)

Year-over-year

—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)

Current stock

6
≈ 1.9 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 36
avg of last 1 sells · latest 2026-04-28

AAE9A59004200952108

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 0 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Pack Gloss & Lip Tint Matte Lover MATTE KISS & Itri Galaxy Pink – 2 x 6 g · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 15 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 6 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (35 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.73 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 15 units · prev 4w = 0 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week— units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks— units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months— units
Optimistic (p95) — next week— units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)— units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)— units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)—
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months —