Demand Forecast

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NIVEA - Lot de deux Deo homme & femmes (Pearl & Beauty + Protect & Care) - 200ml
SKU · AAE9A50432110013454

NIVEA - Lot de deux Deo homme & femmes (Pearl & Beauty + Protect & Care) - 200ml

hero 1P CORPS ET VISAGE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

37
▼ 59.8% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)

Current stock

147
≈ 19.2 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 40
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07

AAE9A50432110013454

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 385 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

NIVEA - Lot de deux Deo homme & femmes (Pearl & Beauty + Protect & Care) - 200ml · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 37 units, trending down -59.8% · on-hand 147 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: hero (217 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 1.00 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 37 units · prev 4w = 92 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week19.5 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks75.5 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months163.7 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week32.7 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)152.3 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)384.6 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)12.6
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 15.4K