Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A48101280153530-0001
Adidas Chaussettes ballerines fines et linéaires, 6 paires - Blanc & Noir
longtail
1P
SOUS-VETEMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▼ 70.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
8
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14
1P stock
8
≈ 8.3 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-14
Unit price
MAD 94
avg of last 25 sells · latest 2026-10-11
AAE9A48101280153530-0001
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-12 · Total forecast: 91 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Adidas Chaussettes ballerines fines et linéaires, 6 paires - Blanc & Noir · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending down -70.0% · on-hand 8 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (175 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.73 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 10 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 1.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 3.5 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 6.6 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 7.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 31.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 91.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 8.6K |