Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A4301270915193
Service à soupe 15 pièces en porcelaine - blanche unie
longtail
1P
SERVICE DE TABLE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
8
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
0
no live offers
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the latest snapshot
Unit price
MAD 127
avg of last 11 sells · latest 2026-09-25
AAE9A4301270915193
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 43 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Service à soupe 15 pièces en porcelaine - blanche unie · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 8 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (238 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.22 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 8 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 0.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 1.8 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 2.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 6.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 29.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 43.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 5.5K |