Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A42004081124189
Fauteuil de camping CK-017A — 86 × 60 × 98 cm — Confortable, pliable et résistant
midtail
1P
CAMPING - CAMP DE BASE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
31
▲ 47.6% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
2
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P)
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the latest snapshot
Unit price
MAD 127
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-29
AAE9A42004081124189
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 182 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Fauteuil de camping CK-017A — 86 × 60 × 98 cm — Confortable, pliable et résistant · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 31 units, trending up +47.6% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (154 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.89 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 31 units · prev 4w = 21 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 44.1 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 9.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 11.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 45.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 182.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 23.1K |