Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A409840710015245-0002
CHAUSSURE - DEPORTIVO III FxG – Conçu pour la Vitesse, Taillé pour la Victoire
longtail
1P + 3P
FOOTBALL
Last 4 weeks demand
0
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
20
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14
1P stock
18
≈ 27.0 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-14
Unit price
MAD 298
avg of last 28 sells · latest 2026-08-16
AAE9A409840710015245-0002
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-05 · Total forecast: 74 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
CHAUSSURE - DEPORTIVO III FxG – Conçu pour la Vitesse, Taillé pour la Victoire · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, stable demand · on-hand 18 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (287 days of history, 28 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.78 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 3.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 11.2 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 3.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 17.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 73.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 22.0K |