Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A407760710015240-0004
ADIDAS - Chaussures de course Duramo RC2 – Fraîcheur et Performance - Menthe Halo
longtail
1P
RUNNING - ATHLETISME
Last 4 weeks demand
5
▲ 150.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
1
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14
1P stock
1
≈ 1.0 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-14
Unit price
MAD 295
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-10-08
AAE9A407760710015240-0004
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-05 · Total forecast: 104 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
ADIDAS - Chaussures de course Duramo RC2 – Fraîcheur et Performance - Menthe Halo · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, trending up +150.0% · on-hand 1 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (336 days of history, 49 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.67 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 3.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 11.1 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 5.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 6.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 25.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 103.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 30.5K |