Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A407760710015240-0004
ADIDAS - Chaussures de course Duramo RC2 – Fraîcheur et Performance - Menthe Halo
longtail
1P
RUNNING - ATHLETISME
Last 4 weeks demand
11
▲ 120.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
13
Σ Stock across 1 live offer
1P stock
13
≈ 11.6 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 345
avg of last 29 sells · latest 2026-05-03
AAE9A407760710015240-0004
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 69 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
ADIDAS - Chaussures de course Duramo RC2 – Fraîcheur et Performance - Menthe Halo · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 11 units, trending up +120.0% · on-hand 13 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (224 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.65 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 11 units · prev 4w = 5 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 6.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 20.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 20.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 69.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 23.8K |