Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A4071470710015310
ADIDAS - CLSC BP DAY – Sac à Dos Noir - Pour Adulte - 22,75 l.
midtail
1P
MAROQUINERIE
Last 4 weeks demand
22
▼ 42.1% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
121
≈ 22.6 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 146
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-08
AAE9A4071470710015310
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 300 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
ADIDAS - CLSC BP DAY – Sac à Dos Noir - Pour Adulte - 22,75 l. · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 22 units, trending down -42.1% · on-hand 121 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (217 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.02 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 22 units · prev 4w = 38 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 6.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 35.7 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 100.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 16.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 98.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 299.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 7.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 43.9K |