Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A405520710015225-0007
DURAMO RC2 W Femme – Chaussures de running blanc et gris, confort et légèreté
longtail
1P
RUNNING - ATHLETISME
Last 4 weeks demand
8
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
13
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
13
≈ 11.2 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 342
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-28
AAE9A405520710015225-0007
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 163 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
DURAMO RC2 W Femme – Chaussures de running blanc et gris, confort et légèreté · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 8 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 13 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (336 days of history, 57 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.74 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 8 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 3.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 35.4 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 11.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 13.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 52.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 162.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 55.7K |