Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A405520710015225-0001
DURAMO – Chaussures de Running – RC2 W – Confort et Légèreté – Blanc et Gris
longtail
1P
RUNNING - ATHLETISME
Last 4 weeks demand
3
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
22
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14
1P stock
22
≈ 14.1 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-14
Unit price
MAD 366
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-10-05
AAE9A405520710015225-0001
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-05 · Total forecast: 99 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
DURAMO – Chaussures de Running – RC2 W – Confort et Légèreté – Blanc et Gris · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 22 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (343 days of history, 78 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.82 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 5.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 19.0 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 7.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 6.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 23.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 99.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 36.2K |