Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A404600710015229-0006
DURAMO RC2 M – Confort, Vitesse et Élégance en Mouvement
longtail
1P
RUNNING - ATHLETISME
Last 4 weeks demand
2
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
13
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
13
≈ 11.6 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 352
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-27
AAE9A404600710015229-0006
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 272 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
DURAMO RC2 M – Confort, Vitesse et Élégance en Mouvement · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 13 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (329 days of history, 54 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.10 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 6.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 47.6 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 20.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 20.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 108.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 271.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 95.6K |