Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A4041410710015310
CLSC BARS BP – Le Sac à Dos Noir et Blanc pour un Look Sportif et Urbain
midtail
1P
MAROQUINERIE
Last 4 weeks demand
13
▼ 18.8% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
12
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
12
≈ 3.5 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 174
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AAE9A4041410710015310
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 146 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
CLSC BARS BP – Le Sac à Dos Noir et Blanc pour un Look Sportif et Urbain · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 13 units, trending down -18.8% · on-hand 11 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (273 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.92 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 13 units · prev 4w = 16 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 5.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 19.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 68.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 8.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 36.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 145.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 25.4K |