Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A4041330710015309-0001
BB CAP LT MET – L’Accessoire Training, Version Premium
longtail
1P
ACCESSOIRE MODE
Last 4 weeks demand
0
▼ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
29
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
29
≈ 15.1 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 142
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-11
AAE9A4041330710015309-0001
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 163 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
BB CAP LT MET – L’Accessoire Training, Version Premium · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, trending down -100.0% · on-hand 29 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (252 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.17 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 8 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 13.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 69.6 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 25.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 162.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 23.1K |