Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAE9A403680710015234-0003
ADIDAS DURAMO RC2 M Chaussures de Course – Noir & Blanc
longtail
1P
BASKET - SPORTSWEAR
Last 4 weeks demand
8
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
58
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
58
≈ 39.5 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 384
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-28
AAE9A403680710015234-0003
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 117 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
ADIDAS DURAMO RC2 M Chaussures de Course – Noir & Blanc · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 8 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 58 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (336 days of history, 72 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.39 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 8 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 3.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 19.4 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 11.6 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 13.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 53.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 117.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 45.0K |