Demand Forecast

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LINEAR BACKPACK – Le Sac à Dos Bleu Marine pour un Style Sportif au Quotidien
SKU · AAE9A4021370710015310

LINEAR BACKPACK – Le Sac à Dos Bleu Marine pour un Style Sportif au Quotidien

longtail 1P MAROQUINERIE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

3
▼ 83.3% vs prev 4w

Offer Stock

44
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14

1P stock

44
≈ 38.5 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-14

Unit price

MAD 176
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-30

AAE9A4021370710015310

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-10-05 · Total forecast: 99 units.
Actual Realistic forecast (p50) Optimistic Out of stock

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

LINEAR BACKPACK – Le Sac à Dos Bleu Marine pour un Style Sportif au Quotidien · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending down -83.3% · on-hand 44 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (336 days of history, 56 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.73 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 18 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic forecast — next week0.5 units
Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks6.1 units
Realistic forecast — next 3 months16.9 units
Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks
the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4		8.2 units
Optimistic — next week7.6 units
Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target)25.5 units
Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)99.2 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)3.2
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 17.4K