Demand Forecast

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NIVEA - Crème de douche soin  Sensitive + Gel de douche 3en1 Power 24h Fresh Effect
SKU · AAE9A40052110013507

NIVEA - Crème de douche soin  Sensitive + Gel de douche 3en1 Power 24h Fresh Effect

midtail 1P CORPS ET VISAGE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

40
▼ 29.8% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)

Current stock

14
≈ 2.6 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 45
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06

AAE9A40052110013507

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 208 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

NIVEA - Crème de douche soin  Sensitive + Gel de douche 3en1 Power 24h Fresh Effect · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 40 units, trending down -29.8% · on-hand 14 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: midtail (224 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 1.21 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 40 units · prev 4w = 57 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week12.5 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks35.3 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months68.7 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week26.8 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)93.4 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)208.4 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)5.3
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 9.3K