Demand Forecast

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CLSC BP DAY – Le Sac à Dos Olive et Noir pour un Style Urbain et Sportif
SKU · AAE9A4001450710015310

CLSC BP DAY – Le Sac à Dos Olive et Noir pour un Style Urbain et Sportif

longtail 1P MAROQUINERIE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

8
▲ 100.0% vs prev 4w

Offer Stock

38
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02

1P stock

38
≈ 77.7 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02

Unit price

MAD 158
avg of last 21 sells · latest 2026-09-27

AAE9A4001450710015310

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 88 units.
Actual Realistic forecast (p50) Optimistic Out of stock

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

CLSC BP DAY – Le Sac à Dos Olive et Noir pour un Style Urbain et Sportif · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 8 units, trending up +100.0% · on-hand 38 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (322 days of history, 23 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.68 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 8 units · prev 4w = 4 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic forecast — next week1.4 units
Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks5.1 units
Realistic forecast — next 3 months15.0 units
Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks
the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4		13.2 units
Optimistic — next week13.0 units
Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target)46.4 units
Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)87.9 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)—
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 13.9K